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Shiny Rates Calculatorin Pokémon PokeOrange
Estimate your chance to find a shiny based on attempts and odds.
Base shiny odds in Polished Crystal are 1/4096 (same as Gen 6+). The Shiny Charm increases this significantly, making it essential for serious shiny hunters. The Masuda Method (breeding Pokémon from different language games) also boosts odds substantially when combined with the Shiny Charm.
Understanding cumulative probability helps manage expectations: even with 1/512 odds (Masuda + Charm), you're not guaranteed a shiny after 512 eggs - you have about 63% chance. This calculator shows your actual odds based on attempts, helping you decide whether to continue hunting or try a different method. Patience and persistence are key to shiny hunting success.
Matches the rules in the Shiny Rates guide.
Encounters, eggs, or Wonder Trades.
Per-attempt odds
Cumulative chance
Notes: Calculator follows the Shiny Rates guide. Base odds are 1/8,192 for this game. Wonder Trade is fixed at 4/8,192 and ignores bonuses. Shiny Charm adds +2/8,192 to all non-Wonder Trade methods; Masuda adds +5/8,192 to breeding only.