Shiny Rates Calculatorin Pokémon Modern Emerald

Estimate your chance to find a shiny based on attempts and odds.

Shiny odds and available bonuses vary by game and method. Use this calculator to see the base rate and any supported bonuses for the game you selected, then enter your attempts to calculate your cumulative chance. A rate such as 1/512 is the chance for each eligible encounter or egg, not a guarantee that a shiny will appear within 512 attempts. Compare methods and attempts here to set realistic expectations for your hunt.

Matches the rules in the Shiny Rates guide.

Bonuses

This game has no shiny-rate bonuses.

Encounters, eggs, or Wonder Trades.

Per-attempt odds

Exact odds1 / 8192
Probability per attempt0.01%
Effective odds~1 in 8192
Expected attempts8,192

Cumulative chance

At least one shiny1.21%
Attempts for 50% chance5,678
Attempts for 90% chance18,862

Notes: Calculator follows the Shiny Rates guide. Base odds are 1/8,192 for this game. Wonder Trade is fixed at 4/8,192 and ignores bonuses. Shiny Charm adds +2/8,192 to all non-Wonder Trade methods; Masuda adds +5/8,192 to breeding only.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the base shiny odds in Modern Emerald?
Base shiny odds in Modern Emerald are 1/8,192.
Do 1-in-N odds mean I get a shiny in N attempts?
No. Every attempt is independent, so the odds never "reset" in your favour: with flat 1-in-N odds, N attempts still only gives you about a 63% chance of at least one shiny. This calculator shows the real cumulative odds for the number of attempts you enter.